Macron’s camp could miss absolute majority in parliament, polls show | world news


PARIS (Reuters) – French President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist camp is not guaranteed to win an outright majority in this month’s legislative elections, two polls showed on Tuesday.

Macron won a second term in April as the centrist, pro-European French president.

But he must also win a majority in the lower house of parliament in polls on June 12 and 19 to be able to implement his reform agenda, and polls have shown support is waning.

An absolute majority stands at 289 seats, but Macron’s Renaissance party and its allies could win as few as 250 to 290 seats, according to a poll by the Ifop institute for broadcaster LCI.

The same pollster last week saw Macron’s party and its allies win 275 to 310 seats.

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A Harris Interactive-Toluna poll for Challenges magazine on Tuesday had a more optimistic forecast of 285 to 335 seats for Macron’s camp, but again he could miss an outright majority.

A minority cabinet or coalition government would be an unusual scenario for France today. The Fifth Republic was designed to avoid heavy coalitions.

The left-wing coalition led by far-left veteran Jean-Luc Melenchon is seen as second in the polls, but conservative Republicans could end up being kingmakers, if Macron’s Ensemble alliance fails to win a majority absolute.

Macron’s La République en Marche party alone won 314 seats in the 2017 legislative elections, but has gradually lost MPs to just under 270 now.

He has maintained control of Parliament through his allies, which number around 80 legislators.

(Reporting by Tassilo Hummel, Elizabeth Pineau and Ingrid Melander; Editing by Alison Williams)

Copyright 2022 Thomson Reuters.


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